The Lord Giveth… (QQQ,DIA,VOX,HYG,CBOE,KKR,FB)

The Lord Giveth… (QQQ,DIA,VOX,HYG,CBOE,KKR,FB)   It’s hard to find anything negative to say about a market that has been on an even-keeled, upward trajectory for the last eight years.   You can mock what underpins its strength, you can deride the foolishness of those who’ve made millions just buying and sitting put, and you can wail like a newborn over the fundamental and technical excesses that are sure (eventually) to rock the very foundations of the financial edifice and send the global economy off the edge of the planet. And eventually, we admit, you’ll be right.  The fun will come to an end.   But it’s far more likely to be a jagged up-and-down affair than the simple cliff-dive that most imagine.  We’re of the school that contends that a wild volatility will seize the market before the final top is in, sending it hithering and thithering in a manner that breaks every man Jack who has more than a few bucks invested in the equity amusement park of the next few years.   And a quick look at the charts of the major world indexes reveals that we might now be approaching our first fitful turn in that process….

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Investor Want a KracKeR? (KKR,LMNR,HAIN,QQQ,TREE)

Investor Want a KracKeR? (KKR,LMNR,HAIN,QQQ,TREE)   We’ve long admired legendary investor David Dreman, author of the ‘Contrarian Investment Strategies’ series of books.  His approach to value investing was a tremendous help to us when we began in the business some 25 years ago.  And even though the days of pure value investing are likely behind us for good, once a while a good opportunity does pop up, and we try to avail ourselves of it.   What was the essence of Dreman’s approach?   Contrarian investing for Dreman was a matter of finding desperately battered stocks and buying them for the long haul, say, three years or more.    Three measures, for him, marked a security that was ripe for purchase: a low price to book ratio, low price to earnings and a healthy dividend yield.   When those three metrics were in play, the stock was considered good value, and Dreman bought. But investing trends change and markets don’t always avail themselves of the systematic and disciplined approach that marked the last generation’s methodology.  Today, stocks will rise – even soar – with little if any of what Dreman sought before he bought.   Today, it’s all about momentum and…

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