If People Won’t Die, Will Bulls…? (KOL,FXI)

If People Won’t Die, Will Bulls…? (KOL,FXI)   We were intrigued by a recent NBC News piece that pushed the notion that eternal life was actually available in the here and now world as we know it.  Or, rather, that it soon will be.  You can read the article yourself here, but the kernel of the piece is that technologies currently under development, including those that involve artificial intelligence and prosthetic bodies, will somehow, eventually, be able to absorb our finite human selves and allow us to be perpetuated in perpetuity!   There’s even one fellow named Kurzweil who claims the process, which he terms ‘singularity’, is already underway and should be near completion by…

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When the Bystander Wins (FXI,GWW,FCX,BUD)

When the Bystander Wins (FXI,GWW,FCX,BUD)   A brief word to our friends and fellow citizens caught in the belly of the whale down in Houston – stay brave, dear brothers, and be good to each other.  You’re a tough bunch, and you’ll pull through.  We’re thinking and praying for you.   And speaking of a hard rain falling, how about Pretty Boy Nukey, North Korea’s dictator du jour, who looks to be begging for a whooping?   Now, even we understand the need to flex some muscle once in a while, and to assert one’s independence, but this looks a little exaggerated.  Sending missiles over the Japanese mainland is either a rookie mistake, or an…

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Sell the Market (CBOE,FXI)

Sell the Market (CBOE,FXI)   Here at Normandy, one of the means we employ to determine the health of the market is to examine the shares of the world’s major stock exchanges.   The thinking is straightforward.   When the markets themselves are profitable and their shares are rising, it’s a sign of good things to come.  When they start to spin their wheels or outright decline, we take it as an ominous signal that weakness likely lies ahead for the major averages, as well.   So how do things look today, with the Dow and NASDAQ and various other world indices at all-time highs? Let’s have a look at the equities behind several of…

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From Rio to Shanghai! (FXI,NOC,AAPL?)

From Rio to Shanghai! (FXI,NOC,AAPL?)   It’s always surprising to us just how much dissonance can exist between the news on a stock or sector, on the one hand, and the actual price moves for the security, on the other.   It can be outrageous.   So, for example, when you see the financial press go to town on Brazil or Twitter or the auto industry, it behooves you as a clever investor to take a look under the hood, kick the tires and offer a good long gaze at the nearest Brazilian Twitters you can find.   For the results are bound to surprise. We bring this to your attention because the current sound…

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RETAIL GYP! (LOW,JCP,FXI)

Some worrying statistics just crossed our desk, which may or may not be fateful for the rally, but that we feel duty bound to share with you either way.   ‘May or may not’?   That’s right.  Remember, we’re now dealing with a market that has come unhinged, for lack of a better term.  Unhinged it is from most of the fundamental markers that Wall Street employs, as well as the majority of technical tools that nearly all traders have become accustomed to.   And so, in the end, there may be nothing to what follows.  The indexes now appear to have a mind of their own, and are following their own, inscrutable logic, and…

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Inaugurating the Profit Search (GOOGL,FXI,KOL,XLP,XLF)

With the New Year under way, we find ourselves with a raft of trades to report.   So pour yourself a tall mug of mead and light up a Camel… Why the goat?   Our first trade was launched in a letter called China at New Highs; Buy China! back on the 1st of June, 2015.  It was a very long dated affair that didn’t prove itself in the end.  We urged you at the time to trade the Chinese market in bullish fashion, specifically recommending you purchase the FXI January (2017) 51 CALL for $5.20 and sell the FXI June 44 PUT for $0.22, the July 44 PUT for $0.48, the August 44 PUT…

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Synthetic China, Real Money (FXI)

Today’s topic is China.   Funny.  There was a time when every day’s topic was China.   Then China went kooky.   It was last summer.   After that, no more talking about China.   We talked about other things.   The Fed.   Terrorists.   The election. But now we’re back to China.   Why?   Because China matters again.   Why does China matter?   Take a look – This is a chart of the iShares China Large Cap ETF (NYSE:FXI) for the last six months, and there you can see that…   We’re in bull mode, as the higher highs and higher lows attest (red circles). We have a rectangle forming over…

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Gulping Up the Silver (UUP,SLV,NFLX,FXI,DIA)

That’s it.  We’re in a downdraft.  A potentially short one, albeit, confined within a longer term uptrend.  But it’s a downdraft nonetheless.   Last Thursday, senior Normandy know it all, Matt McAbby, offered you a short term trade on the QQQs that’s worked out well.  Friday’s action saw the QUBES drop by better than one percent, and the setup still slightly favors a further decline.   We’ll have more to show-and-tell on short term market direction in a moment, but we want first to take an opportunity to discuss a few potential market-turning catalysts on the horizon.   Island Castaways   The first and most important item on the agenda is the upcoming vote on…

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The Urban Banking Reversal (URBN,C,GLD,FXI)

    Amid all the wailing and round-the-clock attention the damned primaries are getting, you’d think the Super Bowl had been changed to a non-stop, twelve-month televised death match!   But this isn’t sport, friends.   This is your life.   So, in the interest of offering you a brief digression, we offer hereunder a pithy primer on what all the hoopla is really about.   And it goes like this –   If you’re rich and secure and haven’t been overly picked on by government, you vote for Cruz. If you’re poor and secure and haven’t been overly picked on by government, you vote for Hillary. If you’re young and pissed and are looking…

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Don’t Miss the Boat (MSFT,TSLA,GLD,FB,FXI)

With the biggest turnaround in the stock market in 80 years now upon us, the greatest danger facing investors is no longer being invested in equities – it’s rather missing out on what could BE a profoundly successful investing year.   That’s right, despite Wall Street’s worst start to a year ever, the major indexes have now sprung back into the black for 2016, and that has folks looking over their shoulders, wondering if it behooves them to do like their neighbors and colleagues and get back into the investment saddle. We just can’t go out anymore…   Now, whether the turnaround is due to the latest round of earnings, which were far better than…

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